Saturday, October 23, 2010

AEP - bear put calendar - II

I closed my AEP trade accidentally. This is my new trade.

BTO Feb 38 P = 2.7
STO Nov 36 SP = .46
Cost = 2.24 debit

I recorded my Net Position Delta this time. NPD = 0.3 ( good )
I am getting 17% short premium over the long put. Anything above 10% is reasonable.
The trade IV is relatively low now. A rise in IV should be beneficial for the trade.

Primary Exit:

- if the trade hits 20% ROI.

- I may decide to roll down the SP if the trend is really bearish or else I will just close the trade

Secondary Exit :

- If the trend goes bullish, roll up the SP or if very bearish, cut loss.

- If the trend goes very bearish, take out the SP and let the trade run. At some signs of support, add the SP.

1 comment:

  1. I decide to close the trade to day.

    BTC Feb 38 P for 2.9
    STC Nov 36 P for .3

    Total profit = 0.36

    or ROI = 16% for 23 days

    I expected to make more money but strangely the long put did not move as much as I expect. I believe this is due to the high dividend given and is built into the put when I bought it.

    ReplyDelete

Visitors to this blog

About Me

An engineer by training graduated with B.Sc (hons) and MBA from Strathclyde university in Glasgow, Scotland. Started as an engineer in R&D for 3 years with Philips. Then, worked with DuPont for 13 years. Last job was VP, Marketing for Asia Pacific. Left to start a number of companies in various segments which include a large electronic distribution, a VoIP provider, an internet trading portal in Australia,and an executive training consultancy firm. Have listed companies in NYSE, Australia Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange Main Board. I was on the Board of Directors for 1 company listed in Thailand, 1 in Singapore and 1 in Australia. Was in the senior management of a company listed in NYSE. Still holding major share positions in the VoIP and Executive training companies. Both are private companies.

Disclaimer

These articles merely reflect the opinions of this author and are by no means a guarantee of future economic conditions, market or stock performance. Though the author strives to provide accurate and relevant data, he sometimes relies on external sources and cannot assure the reader of the accuracy of these external sources. Additionally, these articles are provided for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY and are NOT MEANT to provide investment advice to anyone. For investment advice, please consult your professional adviser.